The important 200dma, Mar12 2026

A red Thursday in equity land, with the SPX settling at 6672, just 72pts (1.1%) above the important 200dma. Any close <6600 would merit alarm bells. Either the market rallies at this time and price, or its straight down to the 6100s…

No downside power, Mar11 2026

A net bearish day… but there was no real downside power. A fair number of the daily charts are cyclically very low, and prone to a week or two of upside.

Broadly stuck…. s/t bullish >6900. Bearish <6600
The cautious will trade light… or not at all.